Last night I pointed out conflicting studies. The Nasdaq 100 closing up 10 consecutive days argued for a close higher in the ST, while the DIA streak as well as BKX divergence with the S&P argued for a lower close on the NYSE and S&P. The markets today followed those expectations, with the S&P and NYSE closing down, while the nasdaq closed up.
With the NASDAQ 100 and the NASDAQ composite having closed up for the 11th consecutive day today, i thought it would be worth to look at historical performances of the composite after such occurrences. There have been 20 prior instances where the NASDAQ composite has closed up for 11 consecutive days. As you can see from the table below, in 18 out of the 20 (90%) cases the NASDAQ was trading higher at some point in the next 3 days. Also notable, is that the market was trading higher 18 out 20 (90%) of the time 4 weeks later.
With the NASDAQ 100 and the NASDAQ composite having closed up for the 11th consecutive day today, i thought it would be worth to look at historical performances of the composite after such occurrences. There have been 20 prior instances where the NASDAQ composite has closed up for 11 consecutive days. As you can see from the table below, in 18 out of the 20 (90%) cases the NASDAQ was trading higher at some point in the next 3 days. Also notable, is that the market was trading higher 18 out 20 (90%) of the time 4 weeks later.
Ticker Date/Time Streak Close PctChg N1 PctChg N2 PctChg N3 PctChg N10 PctChg N20 ^IXIC 3/9/1971 11 104.41 -0.26 -0.14 0.09 0.67 3.02 ^IXIC 4/12/1971 11 108.87 -0.02 0.19 0.75 2.08 1.18 ^IXIC 12/14/1976 11 94.65 0.29 0.30 -0.01 1.73 1.45 ^IXIC 11/18/1977 11 102.22 0.13 0.69 1.49 1.89 1.06 ^IXIC 6/9/1978 11 124.41 -0.10 -0.14 0.08 -2.95 -4.04 ^IXIC 8/8/1978 11 130.49 0.88 0.84 1.16 2.59 4.59 ^IXIC 6/14/1979 11 136.02 0.17 -0.12 0.02 1.51 1.84 ^IXIC 8/21/1979 11 147.99 0.51 0.77 0.95 -1.32 0.98 ^IXIC 6/18/1980 11 157.19 -0.29 -0.43 -0.13 1.27 7.30 ^IXIC 10/14/1980 11 199.02 0.21 -0.54 -0.89 -2.64 -0.62 ^IXIC 1/22/1985 11 268.40 0.86 1.45 2.09 5.29 7.04 ^IXIC 11/12/1985 11 304.40 -0.16 0.26 0.59 2.00 4.76 ^IXIC 2/14/1986 11 350.20 0.63 0.54 0.83 2.74 5.65 ^IXIC 1/15/1987 11 392.60 -0.69 0.00 -0.13 -0.41 4.23 ^IXIC 6/17/1987 11 428.40 0.14 0.16 0.21 -0.91 1.12 ^IXIC 2/24/1988 11 363.10 0.14 0.08 1.07 4.74 4.68 ^IXIC 5/24/1990 11 458.30 -1.00 -0.17 0.11 0.57 0.22 ^IXIC 2/6/1991 11 439.20 -0.96 -0.55 1.12 1.64 8.32 ^IXIC 1/7/1992 11 602.29 1.33 2.91 2.23 0.43 4.77 ^IXIC 9/20/1996 11 1,219.69 -0.67 -0.36 0.41 2.29 1.87 ^IXIC 7/22/2009 11 1,926.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
This suggests that any dip over the next few days could result in a buying opportunity.
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