Wednesday, August 12, 2009

SOX and NDX: Strong ST Buy

SOX
The SOX play discussed yesterday is still in play today. That play calls for a close higher 294.95 by Wednesday. However the SOX closed down again today for the 5th consecutive day. When we run the same study last night, but looking for 5 consecutive days, the results are rather impressive. There have been 15 previous instances, 14 of which closed higher within 3 days (or 93.33%).
(Note: Column '3Day+' indicates the number of days it took the SOX to close higher than the trigger date.)
Ticker




Date/Time


Close


3Day+


PChg N1




PChg N2



PChg N3
^SOXX




8/3/1995


261.97


1.00


1.16




1.33



2.15
^SOXX




9/26/1995


270.37


1.00


0.72




5.04



1.74
^SOXX




10/21/1996


192.30


2.00


-1.66




0.61



-1.44
^SOXX




4/15/1997


263.06


2.00


-0.72




1.59



0.05
^SOXX




8/12/1997


374.26


1.00


1.60




2.33



-0.07
^SOXX




4/28/1999


378.42


3.00


-1.64




-2.15



0.59
^SOXX




12/13/1999


631.04


0.00


-6.82




-4.04



-0.08
^SOXX




4/14/2000


892.16


1.00


13.19




17.98



13.53
^SOXX




5/23/2000


869.74


1.00


5.23




3.68



4.59
^SOXX




7/24/2000


1,075.29


1.00


2.70




-3.82



-11.66
^SOXX




6/25/2003


354.22


1.00


2.75




1.48



1.54
^SOXX




2/23/2005


424.02


1.00


2.39




4.64



3.12
^SOXX




3/9/2006


503.53


3.00


-0.24




-0.71



1.50
^SOXX




12/13/2006


467.01


1.00


1.86




1.89



2.02
^SOXX




5/18/2007


491.71


2.00


-0.17




0.27



-1.04
^SOXX




8/11/2009


290.74


0.00


0.00




0.00



0.00

NDX


Today the NDX closed at an 8 day low, while trading above it's 200MA. Historically that has been an ST positive occurrences. There have been 102 such cases. 83 times (81.4%) the NDX closed higher within 3 days.

0 comments:

Post a Comment