Not since 2006 has the BKX been this overbought, as defined by an RSI(5) close greater than 90.  There have been 20 previous instances, with 17 resulting in a lower close within 3 days.
Not since 2005 has the XLF been this overbought.  There have only been 6 previous instances where the RSI(5) of the XLF closed above 90, but it is interesting to note that in every case, the XLF was trading lower within TWO days.
I think it is important however to keep in mind that the intermediate and long term views are bullish, and the S&P just closed above an important psychological resistance.  It is possible we could see an early run tomorrow.  That may present a better short opportunity than attempting to do so right out of the gate.
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